Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XRP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-19 1.649486 2.039639 2.542041 3.254514 4.270649 5.722052e+00 8.063899
2025-01-26 1.218899 1.684820 2.393153 3.627603 5.927711 1.058665e+01 22.979069
2025-02-02 0.977248 1.448930 2.248751 3.865453 7.605122 1.817679e+01 70.920893
2025-02-09 0.800523 1.242025 2.047230 3.855722 8.807448 2.775421e+01 239.600323
2025-02-16 0.668260 1.069604 1.839879 3.708860 9.553336 3.895727e+01 1078.339102
2025-02-23 0.592612 0.978507 1.758595 3.812621 11.278621 6.513585e+01 154865.336139
2025-03-02 0.540564 0.918994 1.722849 4.018539 13.820769 1.268438e+02 NaN
2025-03-09 0.488088 0.847470 1.639135 4.044013 15.752946 2.333196e+02 NaN
2025-03-16 0.434594 0.764405 1.507483 3.855019 16.334094 3.588268e+02 NaN
2025-03-23 0.408050 0.733110 1.493384 4.061103 20.057037 1.147891e+03 NaN
2025-03-30 0.378819 0.691190 1.442186 4.110276 23.016087 4.502807e+03 NaN
2025-04-06 0.347973 0.641304 1.359343 3.998068 24.469284 2.108562e+04 NaN
2025-04-13 0.321363 0.598398 1.289316 3.920392 26.475146 2.766101e+06 NaN
2025-04-20 0.311944 0.593495 1.323875 4.328565 36.885899 NaN NaN
2025-04-27 0.299459 0.579527 1.329367 4.618371 48.857626 NaN NaN
2025-05-04 0.281251 0.549406 1.280028 4.603613 55.682189 NaN NaN
2025-05-11 0.261494 0.513296 1.205658 4.416433 57.548770 NaN NaN
2025-05-18 0.250056 0.496424 1.188478 4.548263 71.563951 NaN NaN
2025-05-25 0.241804 0.486482 1.191505 4.810965 97.685545 NaN NaN
2025-06-01 0.230437 0.467326 1.160455 4.843552 116.965522 NaN NaN
2025-06-08 0.216001 0.438905 1.093581 4.602236 116.282187 NaN NaN
2025-06-15 0.210015 0.431828 1.098454 4.865425 166.318509 NaN NaN
2025-06-22 0.201729 0.417853 1.076792 4.928411 209.161552 NaN NaN